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VIAVI SOLUTIONS INC. (VIAV)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • VIAVI’s Q3 FY25 exceeded expectations: revenue $284.8M (+15.8% y/y, +5.2% q/q) and non-GAAP EPS $0.15 were both above guidance; non-GAAP operating margin was 16.7% (vs 13–15% guided). Strength was broad-based across NSE and OSP; GAAP EPS was $0.09 aided by a tax benefit . Q3 revenue and EPS beat S&P Global consensus of $281.8M and $0.118, respectively, with the beat driven by higher volumes and richer mix in NSE and OSP* .
  • Q4 FY25 outlook: revenue $278–$290M and non-GAAP EPS $0.10–$0.13; VIAVI is prudently modeling a tariff-related order timing impact and absorbing ~$3M of tariffs on previously committed orders (≈$0.01 EPS drag), with plans to pass-through and mitigate within 3–6 months .
  • Demand drivers: data center “fiber lab & production” tied to 800G/1.6T ecosystems and aerospace & defense (PNT) remained robust; hyperscaler adoption of fiber monitoring continues to rise. Wireless field instruments improved, while wireless infrastructure test remained soft but is seen as a later-cycle beneficiary .
  • Strategic catalysts: announced acquisition of Spirent’s High-Speed Ethernet & Network Security business (~$180M incremental NSE revenue in first 12 months post-close); launched 1.6T lab platform enhancements and an 800G field test module, reinforcing AI infrastructure testing leadership .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Broad-based operating outperformance: non-GAAP operating margin 16.7% exceeded the high end of guidance driven by volume and favorable mix; NSE operating margin swung to +10.4% from a loss y/y, aided in part by a $4M government R&D grant in Europe .
    • AI/data center momentum: management cited strong “fiber lab & production” demand tied to 800G and emerging 1.6T nodes across semis, modules, systems, and hyperscalers. Quote: “We expect 800 gig and 1.6 terabit… to continue driving strong demand for the rest of calendar ’25.” .
    • A&D growth/positioning: PNT strengthened with Inertial Labs; “we continue to win big programs… [PNT] is going to be a very strong grower,” positioning multi‑year growth in aerospace and defense .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Gross margin mixed sequentially: GAAP gross margin fell to 56.4% (vs 59.4% in Q2) due to product mix, despite a modest y/y uptick; management flagged tariff cost absorption and mix as near-term headwinds .
    • Tariff overhang on order timing and margins: Q4 guide embeds ~$3M tariff costs on committed orders (≈$0.01 EPS drag), and a prudent stance on PO re-approvals, particularly at service providers .
    • Cash flow softer: operating cash flow was $7.8M (vs $19.5M y/y), and total cash & ST investments decreased (to $400.2M) largely due to Inertial Labs acquisition payments .

Financial Results

Overall P&L vs prior periods (GAAP unless noted)

MetricQ1 FY25 (Sep 28, 2024)Q2 FY25 (Dec 28, 2024)Q3 FY25 (Mar 29, 2025)
Revenue ($M)$238.2 $270.8 $284.8
Gross Margin % (GAAP)57.1% 59.4% 56.4%
Operating Margin % (GAAP)4.8% 8.2% 3.0%
Diluted EPS (GAAP)$(0.01) $0.04 $0.09
Operating Margin % (Non-GAAP)10.0% 14.9% 16.7%
Diluted EPS (Non-GAAP)$0.06 $0.13 $0.15

Q3 FY25 vs S&P Global consensus

MetricQ3 FY25 ConsensusQ3 FY25 Actual
Revenue ($M)281.8*284.8
EPS (Non-GAAP)0.118*0.15

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Segment revenue breakdown

Segment ($M)Q3 FY24Q2 FY25Q3 FY25
Network Enablement (NE)$151.7 $179.0 $188.0
Service Enablement (SE)$18.1 $20.9 $20.2
Optical Security & Performance (OSP)$76.2 $70.9 $76.6
Total$246.0 $270.8 $284.8

Key KPIs and balance sheet/cash flow

KPIQ2 FY25Q3 FY25
Geographic mix: Americas42.9% 38.0%
Geographic mix: APAC34.6% 35.4%
Geographic mix: EMEA22.5% 26.6%
Total cash, ST inv., ST restricted cash ($M)$512.8 $400.2
Total debt carrying value ($M)$639.3 $640.9
Cash from operations ($M)$44.7 $7.8
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$50.1 $57.0

Non‑GAAP adjustments and impact (Q3): add-backs included stock-based comp, acquisition/integration charges, amortization of intangibles, contingent liability fair-value changes, and tax normalization; GAAP tax line reflected a $(16.3)M benefit, which is removed in non‑GAAP EPS .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueQ4 FY25$278M–$290M New
Non-GAAP EPSQ4 FY25$0.10–$0.13 New
NSE RevenueQ4 FY25≈$208M ± $5M New
NSE Operating MarginQ4 FY255% ± 1% New
OSP RevenueQ4 FY25≈$76M ± $1M New
OSP Operating MarginQ4 FY2537% ± 1% New
Tax ExpenseQ4 FY25≈$8M ± $0.5M New
Other Income/Expense (net)Q4 FY25≈$(5)M New
Diluted SharesQ4 FY25≈227.4M New
Tariff ImpactQ4 FY25≈$3M cost; ≈$(0.01) EPS New
RevenueQ3 FY25$276M–$288M (Q2 guide) $284.8M actual Beat high end
Non-GAAP EPSQ3 FY25$0.10–$0.13 (Q2 guide) $0.15 actual Beat high end

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ1 FY25 (prior two)Q2 FY25 (prior)Q3 FY25 (current)Trend
AI/data center (800G/1.6T, lab & production)Initial 1.6T shipments; expect significant growth remainder FY25 Strong lab & production; 1.6T R&D demand rising Momentum sustained; 800G and 1.6T to drive demand through CY25 Accelerating
Service providers & 5GStabilizing; green shoots in wireless SP spend recovery; wireless field instruments up; 5G densification signals Continued recovery; Q4 prudence on tariffs/PO timing Improving but cautious near term
Tariffs/macroNo explicit tariffs; prudent macro stance Tariff absorption ($3M), pass-through thereafter, 3–6 mo supply chain realignment New headwind, manageable
OSP (anti‑counterfeiting, 3D sensing)OSP up y/y; seasonally weaker Q2; inventory burn expected OSP down y/y on 3D sensing; anti‑counterfeiting inventory normalization underway OSP flat y/y; anti‑counterfeiting stabilized; seasonal 3D sensing dip Stabilizing
Aerospace & Defense (PNT)Robust y/y growth; Inertial Labs closed Jan 28 Strong, multi‑year design-win pipeline; diversification thesis Strong growth; multiyear driver Positive
Open RAN/VALORVALOR lab launch cited VALOR expansion incl. Massive MIMO OTA test Building capability
M&AInertial Labs closed; appetite for EPS‑accretive deals Spirent HSE & Security assets announced; ~$180M yr‑1 NSE rev, accretive after 12 mo Expanding scope

Management Commentary

  • “The March quarter was unseasonably strong… revenue came in above the midpoint… EPS above the high end. Higher volume and richer revenue mix were the primary drivers for stronger EPS.” — Oleg Khaykin, CEO .
  • “NSE revenue… grew 23% year-over-year… Field instruments… recovery… Fiber lab and production saw another strong quarter driven by 800 gig and 1.6 terabit data center ecosystem… We expect this trend to continue through calendar ’25.” — CEO .
  • “Our guidance includes a tariff impact of about $3 million… expected to be dilutive to our gross margin and negatively impact our EPS by approximately $0.01.” — Ilan Daskal, CFO .
  • “So far, we have not seen any issue with people not accepting [tariff pass-through]… it will just become part of the price.” — CEO .
  • “Total cash and short-term investments… $400.2 million… lower… mainly attributed to the payment of the Inertial Labs acquisition.” — CFO .

Q&A Highlights

  • Tariffs: No order cancellations; customers reapproving POs; VIAVI absorbing ~$3M on committed orders in Q4 then universally passing through tariffs; expects supply chain realignment to reduce impact within 3–6 months .
  • Data center/AI exposure: Fiber lab & production now primarily datacom; 20% of NSE and growing; visibility into strong shipments with 800G volume and 1.6T R&D ramp; September quarter expected strong again .
  • Service provider spend: Q3 strength not a pull-forward; recovery seen as sustainable; Q4 prudence reflects PO re-approval timing; SP segment most affected by tariff timing .
  • OSP dynamics: Anti‑counterfeiting stabilized with inventory burn and higher utilization; 3D sensing seasonally weaker in June, stronger in 2H CY .
  • A&D/PNT: Healthy q/q growth; drones, anti‑spoofing/jamming demand; Inertial Labs integration augments PNT platform .

Estimates Context

  • Q3 FY25: VIAVI beat S&P Global consensus on both revenue ($284.8M vs $281.8M) and EPS ($0.15 vs $0.118), driven by stronger NSE margins (including a $4M grant) and OSP mix benefits* . Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
  • Q4 FY25: S&P Global consensus (pre-result) indicated ~$285.2M revenue and $0.115 EPS, broadly aligned with guidance midpoint ($278–$290M and $0.10–$0.13). Management’s tariff absorption ($0.01 EPS) and segment mix (NSE margin at ~5%) suggest near-term estimate fine-tuning toward the midpoints* . Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Positive inflection sustained: two consecutive quarters of accelerating revenue and margin expansion in NSE, with Q3 beats on revenue and EPS relative to consensus and guidance .
  • AI infrastructure tailwind: portfolio is leveraged to 800G/1.6T across lab and field; recent product launches (1.6T LabPro enhancements, 800G OneAdvisor module) support a multi‑year growth path .
  • Tariff risk manageable: near-term EPS drag (~$0.01) and order timing prudence, but pass-through and supply chain shifts expected to neutralize impact in 3–6 months .
  • Diversification working: A&D/PNT adds secular growth and margin mix; Spirent assets (expected ~$180M yr‑1 revenue) broaden layers 2–7 exposure in Ethernet and security testing post close .
  • OSP stable: anti-counterfeiting inventory normalization largely complete; expect seasonal 3D sensing patterns with healthier mix through 2H CY .
  • Watch Q4 execution: Focus on NSE margin at ~5% (vs 10.4% in Q3) given tariff/mix, OSP margin at ~37%, tax ~$8M, and OI&E ≈$(5)M; Q4 revenue guide implies flat q/q on prudence .
  • Medium-term setup: If SP/wireless recovery spreads to Europe and data center momentum persists, the earnings power post-Spirent integration and tariff normalization supports estimate revisions upward through FY26 .

Citations:

  • Q3 FY25 8-K press release and financials
  • Q3 FY25 earnings call
  • Q2 FY25 8-K and call
  • Q1 FY25 8-K and call
  • Spirent acquisition PR
  • Product/AI infrastructure PRs
  • S&P Global consensus (via tool): Q3 FY25, Q4 FY25 estimates*