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VIAVI SOLUTIONS INC. (VIAV)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- VIAVI’s Q3 FY25 exceeded expectations: revenue $284.8M (+15.8% y/y, +5.2% q/q) and non-GAAP EPS $0.15 were both above guidance; non-GAAP operating margin was 16.7% (vs 13–15% guided). Strength was broad-based across NSE and OSP; GAAP EPS was $0.09 aided by a tax benefit . Q3 revenue and EPS beat S&P Global consensus of $281.8M and $0.118, respectively, with the beat driven by higher volumes and richer mix in NSE and OSP* .
- Q4 FY25 outlook: revenue $278–$290M and non-GAAP EPS $0.10–$0.13; VIAVI is prudently modeling a tariff-related order timing impact and absorbing ~$3M of tariffs on previously committed orders (≈$0.01 EPS drag), with plans to pass-through and mitigate within 3–6 months .
- Demand drivers: data center “fiber lab & production” tied to 800G/1.6T ecosystems and aerospace & defense (PNT) remained robust; hyperscaler adoption of fiber monitoring continues to rise. Wireless field instruments improved, while wireless infrastructure test remained soft but is seen as a later-cycle beneficiary .
- Strategic catalysts: announced acquisition of Spirent’s High-Speed Ethernet & Network Security business (~$180M incremental NSE revenue in first 12 months post-close); launched 1.6T lab platform enhancements and an 800G field test module, reinforcing AI infrastructure testing leadership .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Broad-based operating outperformance: non-GAAP operating margin 16.7% exceeded the high end of guidance driven by volume and favorable mix; NSE operating margin swung to +10.4% from a loss y/y, aided in part by a $4M government R&D grant in Europe .
- AI/data center momentum: management cited strong “fiber lab & production” demand tied to 800G and emerging 1.6T nodes across semis, modules, systems, and hyperscalers. Quote: “We expect 800 gig and 1.6 terabit… to continue driving strong demand for the rest of calendar ’25.” .
- A&D growth/positioning: PNT strengthened with Inertial Labs; “we continue to win big programs… [PNT] is going to be a very strong grower,” positioning multi‑year growth in aerospace and defense .
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What Went Wrong
- Gross margin mixed sequentially: GAAP gross margin fell to 56.4% (vs 59.4% in Q2) due to product mix, despite a modest y/y uptick; management flagged tariff cost absorption and mix as near-term headwinds .
- Tariff overhang on order timing and margins: Q4 guide embeds ~$3M tariff costs on committed orders (≈$0.01 EPS drag), and a prudent stance on PO re-approvals, particularly at service providers .
- Cash flow softer: operating cash flow was $7.8M (vs $19.5M y/y), and total cash & ST investments decreased (to $400.2M) largely due to Inertial Labs acquisition payments .
Financial Results
Overall P&L vs prior periods (GAAP unless noted)
Q3 FY25 vs S&P Global consensus
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Segment revenue breakdown
Key KPIs and balance sheet/cash flow
Non‑GAAP adjustments and impact (Q3): add-backs included stock-based comp, acquisition/integration charges, amortization of intangibles, contingent liability fair-value changes, and tax normalization; GAAP tax line reflected a $(16.3)M benefit, which is removed in non‑GAAP EPS .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “The March quarter was unseasonably strong… revenue came in above the midpoint… EPS above the high end. Higher volume and richer revenue mix were the primary drivers for stronger EPS.” — Oleg Khaykin, CEO .
- “NSE revenue… grew 23% year-over-year… Field instruments… recovery… Fiber lab and production saw another strong quarter driven by 800 gig and 1.6 terabit data center ecosystem… We expect this trend to continue through calendar ’25.” — CEO .
- “Our guidance includes a tariff impact of about $3 million… expected to be dilutive to our gross margin and negatively impact our EPS by approximately $0.01.” — Ilan Daskal, CFO .
- “So far, we have not seen any issue with people not accepting [tariff pass-through]… it will just become part of the price.” — CEO .
- “Total cash and short-term investments… $400.2 million… lower… mainly attributed to the payment of the Inertial Labs acquisition.” — CFO .
Q&A Highlights
- Tariffs: No order cancellations; customers reapproving POs; VIAVI absorbing ~$3M on committed orders in Q4 then universally passing through tariffs; expects supply chain realignment to reduce impact within 3–6 months .
- Data center/AI exposure: Fiber lab & production now primarily datacom; 20% of NSE and growing; visibility into strong shipments with 800G volume and 1.6T R&D ramp; September quarter expected strong again .
- Service provider spend: Q3 strength not a pull-forward; recovery seen as sustainable; Q4 prudence reflects PO re-approval timing; SP segment most affected by tariff timing .
- OSP dynamics: Anti‑counterfeiting stabilized with inventory burn and higher utilization; 3D sensing seasonally weaker in June, stronger in 2H CY .
- A&D/PNT: Healthy q/q growth; drones, anti‑spoofing/jamming demand; Inertial Labs integration augments PNT platform .
Estimates Context
- Q3 FY25: VIAVI beat S&P Global consensus on both revenue ($284.8M vs $281.8M) and EPS ($0.15 vs $0.118), driven by stronger NSE margins (including a $4M grant) and OSP mix benefits* . Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- Q4 FY25: S&P Global consensus (pre-result) indicated ~$285.2M revenue and
$0.115 EPS, broadly aligned with guidance midpoint ($278–$290M and $0.10–$0.13). Management’s tariff absorption ($0.01 EPS) and segment mix (NSE margin at ~5%) suggest near-term estimate fine-tuning toward the midpoints* . Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Positive inflection sustained: two consecutive quarters of accelerating revenue and margin expansion in NSE, with Q3 beats on revenue and EPS relative to consensus and guidance .
- AI infrastructure tailwind: portfolio is leveraged to 800G/1.6T across lab and field; recent product launches (1.6T LabPro enhancements, 800G OneAdvisor module) support a multi‑year growth path .
- Tariff risk manageable: near-term EPS drag (~$0.01) and order timing prudence, but pass-through and supply chain shifts expected to neutralize impact in 3–6 months .
- Diversification working: A&D/PNT adds secular growth and margin mix; Spirent assets (expected ~$180M yr‑1 revenue) broaden layers 2–7 exposure in Ethernet and security testing post close .
- OSP stable: anti-counterfeiting inventory normalization largely complete; expect seasonal 3D sensing patterns with healthier mix through 2H CY .
- Watch Q4 execution: Focus on NSE margin at ~5% (vs 10.4% in Q3) given tariff/mix, OSP margin at ~37%, tax ~$8M, and OI&E ≈$(5)M; Q4 revenue guide implies flat q/q on prudence .
- Medium-term setup: If SP/wireless recovery spreads to Europe and data center momentum persists, the earnings power post-Spirent integration and tariff normalization supports estimate revisions upward through FY26 .
Citations:
- Q3 FY25 8-K press release and financials
- Q3 FY25 earnings call
- Q2 FY25 8-K and call
- Q1 FY25 8-K and call
- Spirent acquisition PR
- Product/AI infrastructure PRs
- S&P Global consensus (via tool): Q3 FY25, Q4 FY25 estimates*